New analysis by National Grid has suggested that the UK is likely to miss its overall EU 2020 target for renewable energy.

On 5 July the company published its annual Future Energy Scenarios, which detailed potential pathways for the energy sector over the coming decades. These showed that, while the electricity generation sector was on the “required trajectory” to meet its 2020 renewables sub-target, major progress would be needed in the heat and transport sectors. Even the Gone Green scenario—which assumes a rapid deployment of renewables— showed the UK only meeting its overall target in 2022, while in No Progression ––which assumes the status quo continues—it would be reached in 2029.

Most work would be required in the heating sector; National Grid said that renewables heat would, to meet the 2020 target, need to increase by around 60TWh from 2016 levels.

The report further explained that that small and medium businesses’ electricity use would be charged on a half-hourly basis by 2017, and that the smart meter roll-out programme would peak at over 7mn installations per year in 2018.

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